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Date:         Fri, 25 Jan 2008 18:58:56 -0500
Reply-To:     Jim Akiba <syncrolist@BOSTIG.COM>
Sender:       Vanagon Mailing List <vanagon@gerry.vanagon.com>
From:         Jim Akiba <syncrolist@BOSTIG.COM>
Subject:      Re: Dollar a gallon ethanol?
Comments: To: Jake de Villiers <crescentbeachguitar@gmail.com>
In-Reply-To:  <71d9cdf90801251500y4458cbbasb4d70dc48286e116@mail.gmail.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1

There are three stages of understanding ethanol as a fuel.

The first is the simplest, oh great "alternative fuel" awesome yay it's great... this phase 1 group is helped along by industry advertising and lobbying.

Then once you know something more about it, the production problems, the lower energy density per mass, it goes from "yay" to "boo.. it sucks, it's not all it's cracked up to be", and there is a little backlash from the phase 1 on top of the new realization.

Then eventually if you keep paying attention and learning past the second phase, you start to see some benefits again, some actual, some potential.. like the better brake thermal efficiency of an engine set up to take advantage of it(which bites into the energy density issues greatly), the relatively easy adoption, the ease of introduction in the context of the mass market(average consumer reluctance) vs other alternatives.. and you say.. "ok, so it's isn't perfect, but it's getting better faster than anything else as a viable alternative for the mass market."

Just look at todays hybrids, great.. they're out... not perfect, not great for long haul, but at least they're there... and people are excited by the efficiency levels possible right now. By the same token, there are some people excited about the fact that you can get within 5%-8% of the same efficiency levels as hybrids with very little ethanol if you know how, for a lot less coin per vehicle than a hybrid. But it's a mere handful of people vs. those that think ethanol can't live up to all the hype and hate it as a screen play for not doing much about a serious problem.

It isn't a perfect alternative like the phase 1 bandwagon sounds off to, but it also isn't nearly as bad as the phase 2 bandwagon beating their drums back at the phase 1 people would have you believe. Things are moving fast enough that you don't really need to care or ever reach phase 3, there will be actual answers in the next 2-3 years which'll be fun. By 2010 there might well be cellulosic ethanol that you can read all about on your 360Mbps household connection.

Jim Akiba

On 1/25/08, Jake de Villiers <crescentbeachguitar@gmail.com> wrote: > Exactly.......... > > On Jan 25, 2008 2:36 PM, Pensioner <al_knoll@pacbell.net> wrote: > > > http://tinyurl.com/23jum7 > > > > One opinion from Colorado. > > > > > > -- > Jake > 1984 Vanagon GL > 1986 Westy Weekender "Dixie" > Crescent Beach, BC > www.crescentbeachguitar.com > http://subyjake.googlepages.com/ >


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